Ask anyone on any side of the political spectrum how they feel about the past year, and they’ll probably tell you the same thing: it was rough. There’s no denying that between political scandals, #MeToo campaigns, accusations of collusion, hurricanes, and other snafus 2017 just wasn’t our most glorious year as a country. A fresh, new year full of political potential sits just around the corner, giving us all another year to turn it around and get it right. In the meantime, here are a few politician predictions from 2017 analysts certainly didn’t get right the first time around.
• Many Democrats predicted that Trump would either resign or be impeached by the end of the year. Well, surprise: it’s December and that hasn’t happened yet. Furthermore, there’s no evidence to show it’s even possibly about to happen at this time. Trump made it through his first year with at least a modicum of achievements under his belt.
• “North Korea just stated that it is in the final stages of developing a nuclear weapon capable of reaching parts of the U.S. It won’t happen!” This statement came from Trump early in the year. Despite people claiming North Korea would fail to successfully test or even hit the United States with a nuclear weapon this year, they have experienced moderate success. Out of 16 tests and 23 missiles, the tiny country managed to succeed on at least a handful of firings, giving credence to their claims that they have the power to strike American soil.
• Newmyer and Colvin predicted that Trump would campaign, win, and achieve favor by focusing on infrastructure. Contrary to popular believe, the United States did not see a “Giant New Infrastructure Bill,” nor did Trump focus particularly highly on infrastructure as a whole. He did, however, focus on rolling back restrictive climate regulations and cutting taxes.
• Many politicians believed that Scaramucci (a.k.a. The Mooch) would have a significant impact on Trump’s presidency, including whether or not Reince Priebus’s replacement, John Kelly, would fall to the hotshot’s wrath. What really happened was the opposite: The Mooch burned himself out and found himself ousted from advisorship after just 10 short days.
• Many people believed Trump would successfully repeal Obamacare and put the AHCA into place the first time around. This, as most of us know by now, just didn’t happen. After dying twice, first pulled and later failing to pass, the bill was dropped for several months. Trump changed his approach and successfully began dismantling Obamacare later in October.
• Speaking of dismantling, many people thought Trump would be one of the first to toss the maligned post-sex-scandal Roy Moore under the bus. Instead, Trump didn’t believe the allegations and showed support for Moore until just recently, when Moore officially lost his seat to Democrat Doug Jones.
• When Trump announced plans to change taxes, many people believed it was middle-class Americans who would feel the sting the most. After release, it became clear that the harm wasn’t as bad as anyone had initially thought. In fact, for some middle-class Americans, the tax changes end up benefiting their bottom dollar rather than stripping it back. Companies all across the country are also reporting bonuses and wage increases in response to the slashed corporate tax.
These are just a few of the biggest predictions made this year. Overall, it’s been a year of fluctuations and difficult predictions; the pendulum swung wildly back and forth many times. Looking ahead, the one prediction we can solidly make is that this back-and-forth swing is likely to continue long into the future – at least through 2018.
What predictions do you have for America for the coming year?