(UnitedVoice.com) – On Tuesday, Democratic voters in 14 states went to the polls and gave Donald Trump exactly what he needs to win re-election: a bitterly divided race between two Democratic candidates with polar opposite views for America.
It’s not so much about who wins the Democratic nomination.
It’s more about how much the two most viable candidates beat each other up.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT) and his supporters have a record of crying foul play and picking fights with individuals and candidates they need to win elections. Also, the reality is that Sanders is not creating a political revolution as he claims.
Former Vice President Joe Biden isn’t the savior of the Democratic party some think him to be and he’s not very inspiring, either. However, since winning in South Carolina, Biden’s campaign has picked up considerable momentum for how little money he spent. In spite of big wins on Tuesday, the question is — are people voting for Biden or are they voting for someone they think can beat Trump?
This is exactly what Trump hoped for… candidates that are uninspiring and a party that’s divided. If it stays that way, it may be difficult for Democrats to overcome a fully energized Republican party whose members are ready to show up and vote for Trump in November.
If Democrats are not enthused about their choice, believe Trump can’t be beaten, or are so divided they don’t vote in November, the chances of another four years under President Trump look very good indeed.
Democrats Not Excited
There are few indicators that Democrats are excited about their choices outside of each candidate’s limited base.
On Super Tuesday, 25% of voters decided at the last minute who they were going to vote for. In some states that number was as high as 50%. This repeats a similar pattern experienced by both John Kerry in 2004 and John McCain in 2008 — both of whom lost in the general election.
In Virginia, Biden won with an unexpected 53% of the vote. However, half of the voters decided at the last minute who they were voting for.
In deep-blue California, 80% of voters for Sanders said they picked him at the last minute.
That pattern repeated itself across the country and doesn’t demonstrate excitement or enthusiasm for the candidates — but it does show Democratic voters are energized against Trump.
Will that be enough in November?
What About the Sanders Revolution
Sanders repeated during Tuesday’s night’s speech that his movement is growing and taking over the Democratic party.
However, it appears just the opposite is happening.
On Tuesday, Sanders only won 4 out of 14 states.
On average, across the country, only 1 in 8 who voted was under 30 years old. This cuts into Sanders’s narrative that he is creating a movement to revolutionize politics in America with young people. They may show up at rallies, but they’re not showing up at the polls.
Also, when comparing 2016 to 2020, Bernie isn’t performing nearly as well:
- In 2016, Sanders won New Hampshire with 60% of the vote. In 2020 he won with 26%.
- In 2016, Sanders received 35% of the vote in Virginia. In 2020 he got 23%.
- In 2016, Sanders received 41% in North Carolina. In 2020 he got 25% and lost by a 19-point margin.
- In 2016, Sanders won Minnesota, in 2020 he lost to Biden.
- In 2016, Sanders won Oklahoma, in 2020 he lost to Biden.
Sanders is going backward, not forward.
What Does This Mean for Trump?
Democrats are not united around voting for something or someone. They are united around defeating Trump. The question for them is who can do that?
Sanders has a vision for a socialist government and it’s not clear what exactly what Biden’s vision is except to defeat Trump by looking back at the past.
That doesn’t do well for enthusiasm and that’s not good for Democrats if they want to beat a very popular incumbent president backed by energized Republicans and conservative independents.
If Democrats follow the trend that’s developing, the party could end up in a brokered convention without enough delegates to nominate a candidate. If either Biden or Sanders does not have enough delegates, will the far-left or the moderates get behind a candidate they can’t stomach?
A deeply divided and unenthused Democratic party is exactly what Trump needs to win re-election in November.
By Don Purdum, Freelance Contributor
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