(UnitedVoice.com) – Former President Donald Trump has not won the GOP nomination yet, but the media is treating him as the presumptive nominee because of how far ahead he is in the polls. That means there will likely be a repeat of the 2020 presidential race. However, polling shows the former president could actually win this time around — and Democrats might help him do it.
On October 10, Rasmussen Reports released its latest poll. According to the findings, 30% of Democrats said they are either “somewhat” or “very likely” to vote for Trump. Also, 50% of Black voters claimed they would also cast ballots for him. Of the independent voters polled, 50% said they were “somewhat likely” to vote for the former president. Fifty-three percent of all voters said they were going to elect him president.
"How likely are you to vote for former President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election?"
Very and Somewhat Likely –
DEM: 30%
IND: 50%
GOP: 80%
ALL VOTERS: 53%Story – https://t.co/9Qv2IHXwq1 https://t.co/MxIFiJjbIE
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) October 11, 2023
The Rasmussen Report poll is in direct conflict with other surveys when it comes to Democratic support for Trump. A poll from The Messenger and HarrisX found that 85% of Democrats do not think the former president should run for office again. Comparatively, 45% of Democrats believe Biden should not run.
A YouGov poll found 85% of Democrats have a “very favorable” or “somewhat favorable” view of Biden. Meanwhile, 87% of Democratic voters have a “somewhat unfavorable” or “very unfavorable” view of Trump.
FiveThirtyEight published all of the most recent polls, and the numbers show the election is going to be extremely close. In poll after poll, the two men are tied or beating one another by a point or so. That means the election will be won in the margins, just like 2020 and 2016. The two men have a lot of work ahead of them if they hope to win the race. Of course, a lot can happen in the year before an election, and polls are notoriously unreliable this far out.
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